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@Christine_Cai27 @KhoaVuUmn I think we’ll disagree on this one! How a virus is transmitted is really not the same as the dynamics of the underlying epidemic. It’s really a lot like how to aggregate micro "behaviors" (transmission of the virus) in macro outcomes (how it spreads in a population).
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@Christine_Cai27 @KhoaVuUmn Things are even "worse" when the micro level is not well known, in the case of COVID-19 because it’s a new virus. Not being trained as an epidemiologist cut you from being able to quantify how much uncertainty is left, and to the basic intuitions that may help you…Permalink
Mood -2 🙁
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@Christine_Cai27 @KhoaVuUmn … navigate this uncertainty I honestly think it’s kind of reckless for economists to give policy advices based on epidemiological models of their own, instead of epidemiological models of, well, epidemiologistsPermalink
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@Christine_Cai27 @KhoaVuUmn While I agree with you that there are things anyone can learn (including about economics for non-economists), the step from this knowledge up to the point of being an expert is considerably highPermalink
Mood +1 🙂
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@Christine_Cai27 @KhoaVuUmn (And I’m saying all of that considering I’ve worked with SIR and related epidemiological models earlier during my PhD, so it’s a literature I know a little bit)Permalink
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